budgetbill2025

🧾 What the One Big Beautiful Bill Actually Does The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) cements the 2017 Trump-era tax cuts, including lower individual rates, larger standard deductions, permanent 20% pass-through deduction, and no tax on tipped income or overtime (hklaw.com). At the same time, the bill cuts Medicaid by nearly $1 trillion and slashes SNAP by about $300 billion over ten years. It also expands work requirements and eligibility checks, and bans gender-affirming care in federal health programs (commonwealthfund.org). Congressional Budget Office estimates show 10.9–17 million people may lose coverage, especially in Medicaid, due to stringent changes. 💰 Who Walks Away With the Biggest Gains Upper-income Americans are the heavy beneficiaries. According to the CBO, the top 20% receive ~75% of the tax relief, with the very wealthy seeing $12,000+ annually (wwnytv.com). For them, this is a significant economic victory: lower taxes, expanded deductions, and certainty on key provisions. 🛑 Who Pays the Price—and Why It Matters In contrast, low-income households, especially those dependent on Medicaid and SNAP, are bearing the brunt. Families earning under $20,000 per year may lose up to $1,600 annually, and coverage cuts may impact up to 17 million individuals. New work and eligibility requirements risk pushing vulnerable families further into hardship. ⚖️ Broader Economic and Political Implications The CBO projects this law will add $2.4–$2.8 trillion to the national debt by 2034, potentially undermining economic growth and increasing fiscal risk. Environmental and energy incentives are rolled back, and funding is sharply increased for defense (+$150 billion) and immigration enforcement (+$175 billion), signaling a major domestic policy shift. 📣 How Trump Supporters and Opponents React Trump supporters, especially wealthier ones, view the bill as a long-term win: tax certainty, strong defense, and border security—all hallmark campaign promises. Opponents and progressives saw this coming: they criticized it as a massive wealth transfer from the people with low-income to the super-rich, erosion of the safety net, and an environmentally regressive step. 🔄 Key Takeaways The One Big Beautiful Bill delivers tax relief and ideological priorities for many conservatives but does so at the expense of the most vulnerable. While upper-income households gain significantly, lower-income families face potential financial and health insecurity. Expect this law to dominate midterm debates, influence campaign strategies, and shape long-term economic outcomes.